トップ > ニュース一覧 > 記事
Canada's economy posts jobs gain and unemployment drop, but trade uncertainty 'casts cloud' for BoCン
Canada's economy posts jobs gain and unemployment drop, but trade uncertainty 'casts cloud' for BoC
FILE PHOTO: Construction workers install windows on a nearly completed office building in San Diego, California, U.S., October 9, 2024. REUTERS/Mike Blake/File Photo
In January, Canada's labour market added a net 76,000 jobs. (REUTERS/Mike Blake/File Photo) · Reuters / Reuters

Canada’s labour market added a net 76,000 jobs in January, surpassing analyst expectations, while the unemployment rate fell 0.1 percentage points to 6.6 per cent, according to Statistics Canada data released on Friday.

The drop in the unemployment rate was unexpected, marking the second consecutive monthly decline, and the jobs gain was more than triple what economists had forecast. Economists had expected a jobs gain of 25,000 and for the unemployment rate to climb back up to 6.8 per cent, according to Reuters.

"If we weren't all absorbed with the possibility of a trade war, we would be talking about the comeback in the Canadian domestic economy in recent months," BMO chief economist Douglas Porter wrote in a research note on Friday.

"The turnaround in jobs growth, even amid cooler population trends, reinforces the message from firmer auto and home sales that the economy was turning a corner, thanks to the heavy-duty drop in interest rates in the past eight months. Alas, we still need to contend with the lingering uncertainty on the trade front, which casts a cloud over these sunny jobs figures."

The Bank of Canada cut its benchmark rate by 25 basis points last month as Governor Tiff Macklem warned that a trade war between Canada and the United States "would badly hurt economic activity in Canada."

Porter says while the report does not reinforce a need for near-term rate relief from the Bank of Canada, "the clear and present trade risks will keep rate-cut hopes alive." Still, market bets reduced the odds of a 25 basis point rate cut at the Bank's next decision in March, to 58 per cent from 72 per cent before the jobs report was released, according to Reuters.

RBC assistant chief economist Nathan Janzen wrote in a research note that it's "probably too early to give labour markets the all clear", particularly given the unemployment rate is still up almost a percentage point from last year, "but the unemployment rate may be closer to peaking (or have peaked) earlier than feared." He notes that the Bank signalled further reductions would be contingent on economic data looking soft, so another solid jobs report would reduce urgency to cut rates again next month.

"Still, interest rates are at relatively high levels relative to a soft economic backdrop, household spending has shown signs of picking up, but business spending is still very soft," Janzen wrote.

"There remain significant risks that U.S. tariffs could be announced before the March policy meeting, and another round of labour market and inflation data still to be released before then."

続きを読む

Advertisement

Advertisement

Advertisement

アクセスランキング
Travis Sanheim Picks Up Assist For Canada; Flyers Duo Headed To 4-Nations Final Against Head Coach
In a pivotal 4 Nations Face-Off semifinal, Team Canada secured a 5-3 victory over Finland at TD Garden in Boston, propelling them into the championship final against Team USA.
Travis Sanheim Picks Up Assist For Canada; Flyers Duo Headed To 4-Nations Final Against Head Coach
Gas prices have jumped 10% year-over-year on average in Canada
Gas prices are 10 per cent higher year-over-year on average in cities across Canada, according to data from Kalibrate.
Gas prices have jumped 10% year-over-year on average in Canada
The Stock Market Selloff Looks Scary. Watch This Sign for the Time to Buy.
The VIX, which spent much of January and February at or below its long-term average of about 19.5, leapt to 27.1 Monday. Key levels to watch for.
The Stock Market Selloff Looks Scary. Watch This Sign for the Time to Buy.
Wedding Guest Missing After Bride and Groom’s Home Exploded as They Got Married: ‘A Lot to Grieve'
GoFundMe
Wedding Guest Missing After Bride and Groom’s Home Exploded as They Got Married: ‘A Lot to Grieve'
What Happens in a Hyperbaric Chamber?
Getty
What Happens in a Hyperbaric Chamber?
Gas price expert: Trump has 'costly' option to shut Canadian oil out of U.S. refineries
Gas prices fell on average across most Canadian cities over the past week, dropping 1.8 cents per litre of regular fuel, according to data from Kalibrate.
Gas price expert: Trump has 'costly' option to shut Canadian oil out of U.S. refineries
Couple Admires Beautiful House on Daily Walks. Then, They Leave a Note in the Mailbox with an Unusual Request (Exclusive)
ChristinaAnnButkus/TikTok
Couple Admires Beautiful House on Daily Walks. Then, They Leave a Note in the Mailbox with an Unusual Request (Exclusive)
Tracy Morgan taken out of New York Knicks game in wheelchair
Tracy Morgan was taken out of a New York Knicks game in a wheelchair after appearing to fall ill during the game. The 56-year-old comic was sitting courtside at Madison Square Garden on Monday (17.03.25) when, according to photos and footage circulating online, he began vomiting onto the floor. He was then taken out of the arena in a wheelchair holding what appeared to be a red-stained white towel to his face, with one poster on X sharing that he had a nose bleed. The spectator posted alongside a photo: "Tracy Morgan getting wheeled out from courtside at MSG .. bleeding from nose .. could barely stand up … hope he’s ok (sic)" The game - which saw the Knicks beat Miami Heat 116-95 - was delayed for around 10 minutes in the third quarter due to the former '30 Rock' actor's medical incident. A spokesperson for the star has yet to comment on what happened or offer an update on his condition. A Madison Square Garden representative told People magazine: "We hope Tracy feels better soon and look forward to seeing him back courtside." This isn't the first time Tracy - who has diabetes and underwent a kidney transplant in 2010 - has experienced public medical issues. In 2012, he collapsed outside a building at the Sundance Film Festival, with his representative saying it was due to a combination of exhaustion and altitude. Tracy - who returned to work a few days later - posted on social media afterwards: “Superman ran into a little kryptonite. The high altitude in Utah shook up this kid from Brooklyn." And in 2014, he broke his leg and was in a coma for two weeks, later relearning how to walk and talk, after the limo he was riding in was hit from behind by a Walmart truck on the New Jersey Turnpike. Tragically, his friend, fellow passenger James McNair, was killed in the accident. Truck driver Kevin Roper - who hadn't slept for 28 hours when he crashed - later accepted a plea deal to complete 300 hours of community service in order to avoid trial. The former 'Saturday Night Live' star previously expressed his forgiveness towards the driver. He told People magazine on the 10th anniversary of the crash last year: “I want to say to everyone who was in the van with me that night I love you, and we miss you, Uncle Jimmy Mac and God bless your family. "And to the driver that night and his family, me and my comrades forgive you."
Tracy Morgan taken out of New York Knicks game in wheelchair
ICICI Is Said to Weigh Buying Additional Stake in Prudential JV
(Bloomberg) -- Follow Bloomberg India on WhatsApp for exclusive content and analysis on what billionaires, businesses and markets are doing. Sign up here.
ICICI Is Said to Weigh Buying Additional Stake in Prudential JV
All The Songs In ‘Severance’ Season 2: From The Who To Ella Fitzgerald
The long wait for Severance Season 2 ended at the end of January, and six episodes of the ten-episode season have arrived on Apple TV+ thus far.
All The Songs In ‘Severance’ Season 2: From The Who To Ella Fitzgerald
People Are Blaming Cheap Shampoo For Causing Male Pattern Baldness
It’s a running joke (and arguably a pretty tired one, at this point) that men don’t know how to take care of themselves. Across the internet, you’ll find loads of videos of young women trying to teach their boyfriends the basics of skin care. Commonly, the men have never heard of moisturizer; some don’t even know to wash their faces. Personal care brands famously sell those 3-in-1 (or 4, or 5…) combo products that combine shampoo, conditioner and body wash — presumably because when you’re a man, you don’t have time to use three different products to serve three discrete purposes, I guess. Never mind that shampoo and conditioner aren’t even meant to go on the same parts of your hair. 
People Are Blaming Cheap Shampoo For Causing Male Pattern Baldness
Nebraska Man Missing for 16 Months Found Dead in Wooded Area About Half a Mile from His Home
Facebook
Nebraska Man Missing for 16 Months Found Dead in Wooded Area About Half a Mile from His Home
Matthew Perry Doc Says He Was a Victim of LA’s Drug Trade: ‘Preyed On Somebody Vulnerable’ | Video
Peacock is moving forward with a documentary about its late “Friends” star, Matthew Perry. “Matthew Perry: A Hollywood Tragedy” is set to premiere Feb. 25 on Peacock.
Matthew Perry Doc Says He Was a Victim of LA’s Drug Trade: ‘Preyed On Somebody Vulnerable’ | Video
Australian central bank cuts benchmark interest rate for the first time since October 2020
MELBOURNE, Australia (AP) — Australia’s central bank on Tuesday reduced its benchmark interest rate for the first time since October 2020 as the nation’s inflation cools.
Australian central bank cuts benchmark interest rate for the first time since October 2020
Marc Maron Cries at SXSW Sharing How Sharon Stone Helped Him Channel His Grief Over Lynn Shelton Into His Acting
“I should have been dead at the end of that!”
Marc Maron Cries at SXSW Sharing How Sharon Stone Helped Him Channel His Grief Over Lynn Shelton Into His Acting
Another blast of snow takes aim at Alberta. Will winter make up for lost time?
Winter weather has lacked for the most part across the Prairies this year, but Arctic air and snowy conditions will now attempt to make up for lost time in Alberta. That will replace the recent spring-like weather, with rounds of snow and colder-than-seasonal temperatures lasting into early next week.
Another blast of snow takes aim at Alberta. Will winter make up for lost time?
Jack Whitehall teases 'really big night' at the BRITs
Jack Whitehall is planning "a really big night" for his BRITs return. The 36-year-old comedian is set to host the awards show for the fifth time in his career on March 1, and Jack is thrilled that he has another chance to host the annual event. Speaking to The Sun newspaper's Bizarre column, Jack explained: "The last show I did was in 2021, which had a fair few restrictions due to COVID. "So it always felt like, due to circumstances beyond my control, I’d maybe gone out with a little bit of a whimper. "I think the Brits 2025 is going to make up for that and be a really big night. "When I first started out I was just like ‘Jack, don’t mess this up. This is such a big opportunity’. You don’t want to say the wrong thing and insult someone and then get taken off air. Then I got to a point where I was like, ‘It’s probably best now to not outstay my welcome’. And now, here I am, back again." Jack previously admitted that he can't wait to return to the role of host, describing the BRITs as his "favourite night of the year". The stand-up comedy star said: "They say that absence makes the heart grow fonder, and that is absolutely the case with the BRIT Awards. It is my favourite night of the year." Jack hasn't been available to host the show in recent years due to his jam-packed work schedule. But he's now available and he's thrilled to be hosting the event once again. An insider previously told The Sun newspaper: "Jack is such a brilliant BRITs host and isn’t afraid to take the p*** out of some of the world’s biggest stars. "He has such a hectic diary that he’s been unable to take part for the past few years. But he was available this time and said yes immediately. It is one of his favourite gigs as he can have some real fun with the celebs."
Jack Whitehall teases 'really big night' at the BRITs
Fleet Sink Sirens To Depths Of The PWHL Standings
Aerin Frankel and the Boston Fleet have torpedoed the New York Sirens into the depths of midseason despair in the PWHL.
Fleet Sink Sirens To Depths Of The PWHL Standings
Dollar firms, Aussie steady after RBA's 'hawkish' rate cut
By Ankur Banerjee
Dollar firms, Aussie steady after RBA's 'hawkish' rate cut
Kamala Harris Signs With CAA
Former Vice President Kamala Harris has signed with CAA for representation in all areas, with a focus on speaking engagements and publishing. CAA will work closely with Harris on her post-White House initiatives, creating strategic opportunities that expand her platform in support of the issues she has championed throughout decades-long career in public service.
Kamala Harris Signs With CAA

Advertisement